Industry experience shows that fires or explosions in Oil & Gas and petrochemical facilities can result in extensive losses of property and lives. Realistic quantification of credible physical effects from accident loss of containment scenarios can be used to manage the associated risks by providing engineering solutions and procedural control.
Fire & Explosion Risk Assessment (FERA) is a structured and systematic process to identify and assess risks from fire and explosion hazards. The results of this assessment are used to ensure safe facility layouts, specify passive and active fire protection requirements, and provide input for Escape and Evacuation Risk Assessment (EERA), Emergency Systems Survival Assessment (ESSA), Building Risk Assessment (BRA) and Quantitative Risk Assessment (QRA) studies.
A structured approach to assessing the potential for incidents and expressing this potential numerically.
It must always be recognised that the calculated fatality (or loss) figures are based on experience, statistical failure and incident rates representing an average historical quality of management. Incident investigations usually show that these ‘historical’ incidents were, with the benefit of hindsight, quite preventable.
Like QRA, FERA is also a tool which helps to translate this hindsight into foresight (planning) in order to assist management in deciding the best approach and show ways and means (e.g. improved engineering, procedures, supervision, etc.) to prevent the potential incidents from happening.
It does not apply to fires inside buildings or to non-hydrocarbon fires such as electrical fires, cellulose/paper/metal fires etc. FERA describes the process for assessing risks to assets only. Assessment of personnel risk (including toxic gas risk to occupants of buildings) shall be covered in the QRA.
Explosions within the scope of this standard include:
Majority of the Operators developed on the basis of methodologies and values based on the following accepted methods that are laid out in:
Typically, during concept phase, consequence modelling is carried out to assist in layout planning, determine the separation distances, etc. Comprehensive FERA is performed during the FEED Stage of the project and is later updated during the EPC (Detailed Engineering) Stage based on newly established information/data/engineering documentations etc. EPC FERA study also forms the basis for the operations and forms part of COMAJ dossier.
For existing facilities, where FERA is not available, it shall be carried out at the first available opportunity (earliest) and update the COMAH Dossier accordingly as per UK HSE.
As part of COMAH update, FERA shall be reviewed to determine if significant changes to facilities, fire protection measures & supporting system, manning, buildings, etc. are observed or carried out. FERA study shall be updated to address these changes to ensure assessment reflect the updated changes, fire protection measures and supporting systems. COMAH Dossier shall be updated and approved accordingly, as per COMAH regulations 2015.
Where no significant changes are identified over five years and outcome of previous FERA report is still applicable and technically robust, no update of FERA is required. In such case, the organisation shall develop technical note justifying the same with relevant supporting documents (such as HAZID, risk register review, risk assessments, MOC, etc.) and shall submit for regulatory approval along with previous FERA report as part of COMAH process.
Step 1: Sectionalisation of Plant -Step 1: Sectionalisation of plant under study. It is called as marking Isolatable section – plant inventory bound by location of the Emergency Shut-Down Valves (ESDVs) and Emergency Depressurisation Valves (EDPVs) within piping and equipments. Isolatable sections will be further divided into various failure cases based on the locations, process parameters, operating modes, etc. to capture appropriate risk profile and release events. These isolatable sections and failure cases will be clearly marked on the P&ID and attached to QRA Report and shall be reviewed and approved as part of milestone requirements.
Step 2: Deriving/identification of Potential Consequences- development of the top event into a serious incident depends on the effect of safety systems, prevailing environmental conditions, actions by personnel and presence of ignition sources. Development of credible accident scenarios using event trees thus provides a structure to the conceptual and physical escalation scenario analysis. Minimum following events and consequences such as Jet fire, pool fire, toxic gas dispersion, Vapour Clour Explosion (VCE), Boiling liquid Expanding Vapour Explosion (BLEVE), flammable gas dispersion etc. shall be identified. Simple example of event tree is provided in image below,
Step 3: Inventory Estimation – The material mass accumulated in all isolatable section (both static and dynamic) inventories will be calculated;
Step 4: Failure Frequency Estimation Failure frequencies are frequency of potentially hazardous events estimated from historical databases (generic failure frequencies) combined with part count information for associated isolatable section and failure scenarios (e.g. length of pipelines, number of valves/flanges, etc.). Part count methodology shall be adopted for determining failure frequencies.
Step 5: Source Term modelling An important input to physical effects calculations is the source term, i.e. the rate at which hazardous material reaches the environment and the conditions of the material (e.g. temperature, composition). For leaks from equipment, the source term refers to the mass release (or leakage) rate, calculated based on process parameters (pressure, temperature, composition), inventory and release profile A coefficient of discharge is used to account for the hole shape/type and friction loss as the material passes through the leak hole.
Step 6: Physical Effects aka Consequence Modelling The term 'effect' refers to the possible consequences from releases of hydrocarbons and toxic gases. For example, this may be the extent of a gas cloud's flammability or toxicity or it may be a measure of thermal radiation or explosion overpressure. In brief, the estimation of extent to which the released and ignited gases/liquid would affect and spread out when it is not ignited for all expected consequence outcome.
The following image shows the graph of a jet fire release,
Step 7: Receptors identification & Impact assessment Fire and explosion events have potential to cause significant impact on the plant/facilities, nearby infrastructures, buildings, critical equipment and structures and also has potential to cause impairment of the escape and evacuation measures. Therefore, it is essential that all these receptors are identified and its impairment is studied as part of the various HSE studies and specifically FERA study. As part of the FERA following receptors shall be identified as minimum and impact on these receptors shall be studied as part of FERA study
Building - Industrial, non-industrial, Accommodations (On site), Residential
Critical structures - key structure elements within the plant/facilities/islands, failure of which has potential to cause major accident
Escape, Evacuation and Rescue Measures - to aid and ensure safe escape, evacuation and rescue of all personnel in the event of Major Accident. (e.g. Lifeboats, Temporary Refuge, Life rafts, Emergency Vehicles, etc.).
HSE Critical Equipment and System - All HSECES in the plant/facilities either whose failure can lead to major accident or escalation of the scenario or provided to control or mitigate the consequence of a major accident hazards (e.g. ESD system, emergency depressurisation system, etc.)
Step 8: : Fire Zone assessment – Fire zones are areas of the plant sub-divided based on the potential for fire & explosion hazard, as assessed by the consequence & risk modeling and the efficiency of response means and protective equipment. Fire zone assists in managing the separation distances between independent plant, emergency shutdown, flare design and defining firewater requirements. Criteria for fire zones is defined in project HSE Design Philosophy and the fire zones shall be designed in accordance to the definitions given in design document.
Step 9: Active Fire Protection Review - Where active fire protection provisions and firewater demand calculations are carried out prior to development of fire zone as part of engineering based on certain assumptions, review of these fire water (FW) demand & firefighting provisions such as firewater monitor and hydrants, shall be carried out as part of FERA to ensure effectiveness of these provisions.
Step 10: Passive Fire Protection Review Where passive fire protection provisions are carried out in line to development of Passive fire proofing schedule as part of engineering based on certain assumptions. Fire and explosion values from different MAHs are calculated for each affected receptors serves to make decision about whether or not a HSECES needs fire/explosion protection.
Step 11: Risk calculation & Presentation Risk is estimated in per year basis for any particular receptor present in the particular place for the exposed duration in a year for each and every consequence outcome. E.g. 1E-04 / year for 37.5 kW/m2 jet fire radiation, 1E-05 / year for 0.5 LFL etc. It is called as Design Accidental Load (DAL) limits or assets. Equivalent to LSIR in QRA. These contours shall be generated from software to show the geographical limits of different levels of risk present in plant on top of the layout for reader’s understanding. A typical risk contour overlaid on a layout is shown in the following figure.
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